The Memphis Tigers will try to break a three-game losing streak on Thursday when they host the Navy Midshipmen in an American Athletic Conference game at the Liberty Bowl in Memphis. After starting the season 3-0 and upsetting Mississippi State, the Tigers (3-3, 0-2 in AAC) have dropped consecutive games to UTSA, Temple and Tulsa. Meanwhile the Midshipmen (1-4, 1-2) are off to the program's worst start since 2002 when they went 2-10.
Kickoff is 7:30 p.m. ET. The Tigers are 11-point favorites in the latest Memphis vs. Navy odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over/Under for total points scored is 56. (See the latest college football lines for all of this week's games on our college football odds page.)
Before you make any Navy vs. Memphis picks and college football predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years,
the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,800 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread.
It also enters Week 7 of the 2021 season on a 19-7 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.
The model knows that the Tigers' Calvin Austin III has established himself as one of the most productive receivers in the country. The 5-foot-9 senior from Memphis leads the FBS in receiving yards (837) and ranks second in receiving yards per game (139.5) and all-purpose yards per game (162.0). He also ranks fourth in the country in receiving touchdowns (eight), seventh in receptions per game (8.0) and 12th in total touchdowns (nine).
The model also knows that Navy linebacker Diego Fagot is off to a fast start in 2020. A 6-foot-3 senior from Fort Lauderdale, Fla., Fagot leads the Midshipmen with 46 tackles and 6.5 tackles for a loss. He is ranked 19th in the country in tackles per game (9.2) and 20th in solo tackles per game (5.4).
Now the model has simulated Memphis vs. Navy 10,000 times, and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under the total, and
it says one side of the spread covers almost 60 percent of the time. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.
Who wins Memphis vs. Navy on Thursday
And which side of the spread covers almost 60 percent of the time?
Source : https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/memphis-vs-navy-line-odds-advanced-computer-model-makes-spread-pick-for-thursdays-game/529